The curve in the survey is real and Nielsen's seven-word explanation of it is right. The wait he prescribes is not, because what makes a late error shippable is not a trusted tool, it is the absence of a written list of what a late error looks like, and that list takes ninety minutes.
The rewrite, with the survey's numbers and the ten rows, is in AI Is Startware, Says Nielsen. It Finishes the Day the Failure Inventory Exists.. The artifact itself is the handbook chapter The Failure Inventory(coming Nov 25), and the number that says finishing is the bottleneck now is in 17x the Code, 1.3x the Releases. Design's Job Is the Spec Now.