How long does moving from credits to outcome pricing take?

THE SHORT ANSWER

Plan on six quarters, and do not switch. In the migration I ran at a $40M ARR SaaS it was 21 months from the decision to the day the per-seat tier sunset, and 22 months until outcome revenue reached 91% of the total with blended gross margin back at 71%. The playbook runs hybrid pricing for new customers from quarter two while credits keep selling the general-purpose work, migrates the top 20 accounts in quarter three, bottoms out at 58 to 62% gross margin in quarter four, and sunsets the legacy tier in quarter six. The dispute queue is sized before the first invoice: our definition held for 98% of cases and the other 2% was 200 contested cases a week.

Elena Verna's October 16 post says what most credit-based AI companies say in private: outcome pricing is right in theory, and Lovable would not be in business by the time it got there. The useful answer to that is a duration and a curve, not an argument, and I have both from a migration I finished.

The number people miss is that nobody switches. The credit keeps selling the general-purpose work, where Verna is right that the unit is unknown, and the outcome tier prices the one thing the customer already counted. For a support agent that is a resolved ticket. The definition held for 98% of my cases because help desks had been counting resolutions for twenty years before an agent touched one.

The quarter-by-quarter table, the five things that broke on sunset day, and why the dispute queue is not a reason to wait are in Lovable Isn't Ready for Outcome Pricing. Here Is the 21-Month Bill.. The after-action numbers are in Field Report: What Broke When We Killed Our Per-Seat Tier, and the operating schedule is Pricing Migration: The 18-Month Quarterly Playbook.

SOURCES

THE LONG VERSION

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Last reviewed 2026-10-16 · 1 min read